The Lewin Group: Cited Often, Owned by UnitedHealth

In a recent Chicago Tribune article, “Health-care reform: Medical insurers poised to reap a healthy ‘bonanza,’”   the following paragraph concerning The Lewin Group caught my eye

One of the Democratic proposals that most concerned insurers was creation of a “public option” government-sponsored insurance plan. The industry launched a campaign on Capitol Hill, distributing arguments opposing the government option that often were grounded in a study published by The Lewin Group, a health policy consulting firm owned by UnitedHealth.

In an effort to stay abreast, I read a fair amount of opposition commentary–and “The Lewin Group” comes off the lips of Republicans and others opposed to the Public Option often enough. Although The Lewin Group connection with UnitedHealth has been made public by a number of sources, I’m not sure that it’s common knowledge. And perhaps, as always, when dealing with information–especially information doing duty as a foundation upon which Medical Insurers stand “poised to reap a healthy bonanza”–considering the source– and considering that the source of that information is owned by one of the nation’s largest insurers– may be worth a moment or two.

This description of The Lewin Group comes from The Lewin Group in their Testimony before the before the Energy and Commerce Committee, U.S. House of Representatives, dated June 25, 2009, and updated July 9, 2009

The Impact of the House Health Reform Legislation on Coverage and Provider Incomes

About The Lewin Group

The Lewin Group is a health care and human services policy research and management consulting firm. We have over 25 years of experience in estimating the impact of major health reform proposals. The Lewin Group is committed to providing independent, objective and nonpartisan analyses of policy options. In keeping with our tradition of objectivity, The Lewin Group is not an advocate for or against any legislation. The Lewin Group is part of Ingenix, Inc.,which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the UnitedHealth Group. To assure the independence of its work, The Lewin Group has editorial control over all of its work products. (emphasis added)

The Lewin Group was purchased by Ingenix (and thus UnitedHealth) in 2007, somewhat presciently in time for the Health Care debate. I do not doubt that The Lewin Group has a stated and formal editorial control over its work products; I do doubt that it looks to bite the hand that feeds it. And I would suggest that as an arm of UnitedHealth, despite Mr. Kellar’s claims above, self decapitation– at least in the corporate world– is less a “mystery” than it is an illusion.

A recent Washington Post article also noted The Lewin Group’s relationship to its immediate parent

Ingenix, a UnitedHealth subsidiary that was accused by the New York attorney general and the American Medical Association, a physician’s group, of helping insurers shift medical expenses to consumers by distributing skewed data. Ingenix supplied its parent company and other insurers with data that allegedly understated the “usual and customary” doctor fees that insurers use to determine how much they will reimburse consumers for out-of-network care.

In January, UnitedHealth agreed to a $50 million settlement with the New York attorney general and a $350 million settlement with the AMA, covering conduct going back as far as 1994.

Ingenix chief executive Andrew Slavitt said the Ingenix data was never biased, but Ingenix nonetheless agreed to exit that particular line of business. “The data didn’t have the appearance of independence that’s necessary for it to be useful,” Slavitt said.

This may give us some idea of where Mr. Slavitt’s bar for data’s  “appearance of independence that’s necessary for it to be useful” is set. But there is of course a possible difference to be had between “useful” and “valid” and “valid as used.”  Distinctions the video below, as well as the Chicago Trib article, may help to clarify.

It should be noted, however, that according to WaPo,

Lewin Group Vice President John Sheils said his firm had nothing to do with the allegedly flawed Ingenix reimbursement data. Lewin has gone through “a terribly difficult adjustment” since it was bought by UnitedHealth in 2007, because the corporate ownership “does create the appearance of a conflict of interest.”

“It hasn’t affected . . . the work we do, and I think people who know me know that I am not a good liar,” Sheils said.

Mr. Sheils also noted to WaPo that those who pay for studies also have the option of “burying” those studies:

But not all of the firm’s reports see the light of day. For example, a study for the Blue Cross Blue Shield Association was never released, Sheils said.

“Let’s just say, sometimes studies come out that don’t show exactly what the client wants to see. And in those instances, they have [the] option to bury the study — to not release it, rather,” Sheils said.

I wonder if UnitedHealth gets the in-house rate.

Medical Expense for a Family of Four Rises

Yesterday we took a look at Health Insurance CEO pay, and noted that Mr. Ronald Williams of Aetna made $467,309.85 per week in 2008, while Ms. Braly of Wellpoint was left to make ends meet on $189,311.76 per week, and Mr. Hemsley of United Health was forced to manage on  $62,327.73 per week (though one might hope that Mr. Hemsley had the presence of mind to put a little something away the year prior when he had made $253,164.02 per week).

Today we take a brief look at how the other half lives. HealthCare Finance News reports that according to the Milliman Medical Index (MMI) the average medical bill for a typical family of four covered by an employer-sponsored preferred provider organization (PPO) program rose 7.4 percent from 2008 to 2009. In actual dollars:

The total 2009 medical bill for a typical American family of four is $16,771, compared with the 2008 figure of $15,609. The $1,162 increase is the highest measured by the MMI since the 2006 increase of $1,168, when cost trends were at 9.6 percent.

The MMI found that employers are expected to pay $9,9947, or 5.4 percent more than in 2008, while employees are expected to contribute $4,004 toward their health costs, an increase of 14.7 percent, and pay $2,820 in out-of-pocket expenses, an increase of 5.4 percent.

According to Health and Human Services: “The estimated median income for a four-person family living in the United States is $70,354 for FFY 2009″ (slightly more than Mr. Hemsley’s weekly paycheck). According to the MMI, of that $70,000, nearly $7,000 in employee wage goes to healthcare expense. That’s 10 per cent or $583.33 per month. That’s more than enough to make the payment on a brand new Cadillac.

In addition, one should also note that the employers’ contribution is nearly $10,000 per year, or $833.33 per month. Together, the actual total is $16,771 or $1397.59 per month. Which is to say that the average expense for medical for a family of four is $1400.00 per month. According to the Census Bureau, the average price of a house in the U.S. in March of 2009 was $201,400.00.

According to CNNMoney.com the current average for a 30 year fixed rate mortgage is 5.24% but rates are “all over the map.” We’ll use 7%. The monthly mortgage payment on $201,400 for a 30 year fixed rate at 7% is $1339.92. The average monthly medical expense amounts to $1397.59.

That’s a house. The average monthly medical expense for a family of four amounts to a house, maybe not one that Mr. Williams, Ms. Braly or Mr. Hemsley would live in, but a house nonetheless. Oh, and there’s still $57.67 left over– enough to catch the earlybird special at the Family Buffet.

Health Care Reform and the Public Insurance Plan: “Framing the Debate,” and Fording the Corporate Dam of Shareholder Wealth Maximization

Photo by WyrdLight via Wikimedia Commons

Kaiser.org has recently noted that “Liberal and conservative interest groups ‘have begun a fierce ideological battle, with each side trying to shape the public’s perception of a public insurance plan,’ the Christian Science Monitor reports.”

Kaiser states:

The Health Policy Consensus Group, a coalition of conservative interest groups spearheaded by the Heritage Foundation, listed the creation of a public insurance option as the No. 1 “deal killer” for health care reform. The group argues that the government would use its “regulatory, pricing, and taxing authority” to make it nearly impossible for private insurers to compete, leaving U.S. residents without a private alternative.”

Let’s attempt to understand the argument against a public insurance plan. To do so, I would suggest that it will be of some help to understand the nature of a “public plan,” and, perhaps just as importantly, where the interests lie.

When we speak of “a public insurance plan,” we speak essentially of expansion, not creation: Medicare, Medicaid and SCHIP are “public plans,” as are those administered by the Veterans Administration and the Indian Health Service.  At present, however, these plans are tailored to bring medical care to people who meet certain criteria. At present, this country is estimated to have close to 50 million people who are uninsured: primarily people who either lack the money or employment requisite to obtain private health insurance or who fail to meet the criteria requisite for enrollment in any of the public plans as they are presently configured.

The “public plan” proposal would expand the criteria for enrollment in extant “public plans” and perhaps constitute other service providers to administer to the need.   So…the argument against a public plan is essentially an argument against making these plans (or very similar plans) available to a greater number of people. Why? Simply put, those who would be serviced by an expanded “public plan” would thereby be rendered unavailable to Private Insurers as customers and generally speaking, less customers = less profit.

Understandably, those who oppose a “public plan,” such as America’s Health Insurance Plans (AHIP), have proposed that as a means of achieving universal coverage, all Americans should be forced (”mandated”) to purchase health insurance from, well, Private Insurers. The plan calls for the Government to subsidize this purchase of private insurance. Given that there are close to 50 million uninsured, this would result in an increase of tens of millions of paying customers for Private Insurers.  This proposal has been rather aptly compared by Jeff Emanuel of The American Spectator to an automaker bailout which would require each American to buy a car.

The Heritage Foundation’s Health Policy Consensus Group, opposed to a public plan, is said to argue that with the advent of an expanded public plan

“the government would use its “regulatory, pricing, and taxing authority” to make it nearly impossible for private insurers to compete….”

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Private Insurers Respond to Threats of Lost Profit

photo by yomanimus via Flickr

Reed Abelson of the New York Times reported recently about private health insurance companies’ response to the “bleak economy” and Washington’s most recent attempts to make health insurance affordable and available to greater numbers. Large private insurers, such as Aetna, have developed “2,000- page strategic plan[s]” and are meeting “almost every other working day” in response.  Private insurance companies are said to be feeling threatened by the Democratic Party’s new found dominance.

The NY Times states:

Almost every business in the country is feeling buffeted by the recession. But for health insurance companies, the bleak economy is only part of the problem: the changing of the guard in Washington is an equal if not more dangerous threat. Together, these forces could deal a body blow to a business model that was already teetering.

The bottom line, of course, is the bottom line. And the fear of the “new guard,” is the fear of lost profit. Although many private insurers have experienced declining enrollment and diminished profits over the course of 2008, two of the country’s largest private insurers, Aetna and United Health, were described by the Times as still being “solidly profitable.” It should also be noted, as we reported in a recent post on this blog, that in 2007 Aetna’s CEO, Ronald A. Williams, received total compensation of $23,045,834 . Despite that lofty number, Aetna managed to record a  profit in 2007 of 1.831 Billion.

The NY Times reports:

Both Aetna and UnitedHealth had double-digit declines in earnings last year, but both remain solidly profitable. Aetna earned $1.4 billion, down 24 percent, on sales of $31.6 billion, while UnitedHealth had net earnings of nearly $3 billion, down 36 percent, on revenue of $81.2 billion.

Although profits are declining, attributable in part to rising premiums and customer dissatisfaction in a declining economy, perhaps a greater threat to insurers is present uncertainty. Markets abhor uncertainty. And as the Times states,

As the conversation intensifies in Washington about health care reform, no one knows for sure what role the insurance industry will play in a revamped system.

President Obama, along with the Democratic majorities in Congress, may simply rewrite the rules, forcing insurers to take all comers as customers, including those who previously would have been rejected because of poor health. The government may sharply cut how much it pays insurers to take care of the elderly. And, in what some people say would be a clear step toward a government-run system, there is even discussion about expanding the Medicare program, now limited to the elderly and the disabled, so that anyone could enroll in it.

Although private insurers have made sure to take a seat at the health reform table so as to “influence the debate,” the Times reports that:

Given the current sentiment, the insurers understand that they won’t be able to beat back all efforts at sweeping change, as they did so successfully during the Clinton administration.

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